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A slate of real markets, staked blind.

The group is not trading against the world. Polymarket's price is the consensus — the number to disagree with — and the real bet is against each other's read of it.

Stakes stay sealed until the slate locks at the start of the trip, so nobody is following anybody. Whoever reads their friends' blind spots best takes the pool.

Each slate leans on the markets nearest the destination, then fills out nationally.

  1. 001MoabHiking — Moab, UTFour people who own boots and two who bought them last week.
  2. 002MiamiBeach week — Miami, FLNobody has confirmed where anybody is sleeping.
  3. 003Los AngelesLos Angeles, CATwo of them are 'taking meetings' and will not elaborate.
  4. 004New YorkNew York weekendThe itinerary is one restaurant and a lot of walking.
  5. 005AustinAustin, TXBooked around one show nobody else wanted to see.
  6. 006Lake TahoeLake TahoeOne car, six people, and a disputed playlist policy.

Optional side pot: one three-leg parlay per person, longest surviving odds takes it.